WOLFOWITZ ASKS CHICOMS IF THEY REALLY MEAN WHAT THEY SAY

Red Chinese Military Threat

Red Chinese Military Threat

Excerpted from Howard Phillips Issues & Strategy Bulletin of May 15, 2005

WOLFOWITZ ASKS CHICOMS IF THEY REALLY MEAN WHAT THEY SAY

"Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz met yesterday with a top Chinese general and other military officials amid growing concern over the rapid buildup of Chinese military forces.
"Pentagon spokesman Lt. Cmdr. Gregory Hicks said Mr. Wolfowitz had a private conversation with Lt. Gen. Xiong Guangkai, deputy chief of the military staff and leader of the Chinese delegation.

"Gen. Xiong is known widely in U.S. defense circles for his remark in 1995 that contained a veiled threat by China to use nuclear weapons against Los Angeles, if the United States defended the Republic of China (Taiwan) in a conflict. …

"The talks included U.S. requests for a Chinese clarification of a December white paper that called the situation on the Taiwan Straitand said China is set to crush any steps by the island toward formal independence.
RED CHINESE AND RED KOREAN MILITARIES ARE TWIN BROTHERS

"Chinas military has claimed to be for the past 50 years the institution in China that is most closely aligned with or at least interacts with their peers and contemporaries in the North Korean military, the official said. Chinese military officials yesterday refused, as they have in the past, to discuss their ties to the North Korean military, the official said." Source: Bill Gertz, The Washington Times, 4/29/05, p. A3

RED CHINESE WEAR BLUE BERETS IN HAITI

"On April 4, TV cameras recorded a Chinese Riot Control Police outfit, wearing the Blue Berets of the U.N.,marching across the airport tarmac in Port-Au-Prince, Haiti. It is one of many examples of China projecting itself to the far corners of the world."

BEIJING PREPARES FOR THE FUTURE

"Recent events have focused global opinion short-term on the Chinese military budget, oil demand and standoff with Taiwan and the United States, ignoring long-term implications. With its centrally controlled government, China can closely monitor and influence its military, economic and sociopolitical development and plan 20 to 100 years into the future.

"Americas political leaders too often look only at four- to eight-year terms, ignoring Chinas enormity. For example, people dismiss the simple idea 1 in 3 of the worlds people could be Chinese by 2050, all over the globe. Further, Americans especially do not see how a large portion of our conventional military is retooling to deal with low-intensity asymmetrical threats. This, while Chinas conventional military power expands every year and concentrates on macro strategic warfare, including even outer space."

U.S. IS ABOUT NOW, PRC IS ABOUT THEN

"Immediate concerns over rising world oil prices have obscured the indirect role of China moving into economic high gear with booming oil demand and industrialization. Meanwhile our foreign policy focuses on combating terrorism and spreading real and ersatz democracies.

"Examining these situations and trends stimulates serious concern. Last year, Chinas military budget visibly increased 12 percent, with similar upsurges each year over the last decade. Each annual expansion is only a small concern, but this development is ominous and doesnt include Chinas commercial military-industrial performance.
"Chinas money has poured into improving strategic capabilities, including its blue-water navy, air capabilities and modern space communications, reconnaissance and attack systems. These increased capabilities have moved China's army to shed its militia roots and adopt Western doctrines that integrate technology, joint operations and information warfare. So, as Chinas military capabilities become comparable to those of America, conflict could erupt on sea, in the air and in space."

21ST CENTURY WILL BELONG TO CHICOMS, UNLESS U.S. WAKES UP

"At the current level of growth, China will surpass the United States as the worlds largest economy in 30 years or less. Huge cash reserves and lucrative markets allow China to forge worldwide commercial ties by enticement and pressure.

"These same economic moves dictate political and diplomatic relationships. In any sort of conflict, it would be very easy for China to leverage its power and coerce nations to its side, as in the classic Sun Tzu adage: The next best plan is to attack the enemy through alliances, forcing the enemy to capitulate.

PHILIPPINES AND VIETNAM ACQUIESCE

"Recent developments show China follows that advice and is slowly moving toward a goal of sole superpowerdom. It recently signed an economic partnership with the Philippines and Vietnam to develop the natural resources of the Spratly Islands, sidestepping turmoil there. These islands are an important center of a long-sought Chinese domination of the South China Seas trade routes and resources, a goal that directly challenges U.S. interests in the area. This, coupled with new negotiations with India, show a new direction in thought. Chinese officials say they do not wish to challenge U.S. superpower status, but the scenario above illustrates a strategy of dominance through slow, subtle influence.

ECONOMIC BLACKMAIL IS BACKED BY GROWING MILITARY STRENGTH

"American military strategists must address future global and space developments by the Chinese military to counter any potential intimidation. We should curtail trade with the Chinese until they make a commitment to lasting sociopolitical liberalization, while we control our own hemorrhaging trade deficit with them. Trade agreements between China and other nations must be monitored to prevent economic blackmail there, as well." Source: F. Andrew Messing Jr. (U.S. Army Special Forces retired major and executive director of National Defense Council Foundation (NDCF) and Daniel Perez (NDCF research assistant), The Washington Times, 5/2/05, p. A17

Excerpted from Howard Phillips Issues & Strategy Bulletin of March 15, 2005

CIAs PORTER GOSS TELLS THE TRUTH ABOUT CHINESE THREAT

"Chinas military buildup is tilting the balance of power in the Taiwan Strait in ways threatening to the United States, say U.S. intelligence officials, whose blunt comments contrast sharply to past intelligence assessments of the communist countrys capabilities.

" Improved Chinese capabilities threaten U.S. forces in the region, CIA Director Porter J. Goss told the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence Wednesday.

" China continues to develop more robust, survivable nuclear-armed missiles, as well as conventional capabilities for use in regional conflict,’ he said."

DEFENSE INTELLIGENCE (DIA) ECHOES CIA CONCERNS

"Vice Adm. Lowell Jacoby, director of the Defense Intelligence Agency, said in prepared testimony to the panel that China is adding numbers and more capable ballistic missiles to its arsenal to ‘improve their survivability and war-fighting capabilities, enhance their coercion and deterrence value, and overcome ballistic missile defense systems.

" This effort is commensurate with its growing power and more assertive policies, especially with respect to Taiwan, Adm. Jacoby said."

BEIJING’S GROWING NAVAL POWER IS GREATEST SHORT-TERM THREAT TO U.S. SECURITY

"The officials testimony shows an apparent effort to define the danger posed by Chinas rising military power, which critics said have been minimized in the past, in part so as not to offend the country with markets coveted by U.S. businesses. The CIA, in particular, has been criticized in the past for underestimating Chinese military and security developments.

"Sen. Susan Collins, Maine Republican, yesterday asked Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld at a Senate Appropriations Committee hearing about Mr. Goss testimony that  sounded the alarm about Chinas modernization of its navy.
"Mr. Rumsfeld said China is boosting defense spending by double-digit rates and most of the buildup is being carried out in secret. Purchasing a great deal of relatively modern equipment from Russia, Mr. Rumsfeld said. And as you point out, they have been expanding their navy and expanding the distances from the Peoples Republic of China that their navy ventures." Beijing decides that Taiwan is taking steps toward permanent separation that exceed Beijing's tolerance, we assess China is prepared to respond with varying levels of force, Mr. Goss said."



SILENCE ABOUT TAIWAN WOULD NOT BE GOLDEN

" ‘It would be wrong for us to send a signal to China that the United States and Japan will watch and tolerate China's military invasion of Taiwan, said Shinzo Abe, the acting secretary general of Japans ruling Liberal Democratic Party who is widely considered a likely successor to Junichiro Koizumi as prime minister. The situation surrounding Japan threatens our security, Japan can provide U.S. forces with support.
"Such talk reflects what diplomats and scholars call the defining drama of East Asia for the 21st century the competition for economic and political dominance in the region between Japan, the worlds second-largest economy, and China, the worlds most populous nation and a fast-developing economic and military power.
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