- Secretive enterprise unit carries on undistracted by U.S. rift
- Services for internet, cloud to net $10 billion this year
The fortunate arrest of Meng Wanzhou, chief financial officer of Huawei Technologies Co., has thrust the company into a political firestorm and deepened a core threat: that more and more countries will blacklist its switches, routers and phones out of growing concern that they could be hijacked by foreign spies.
Yet inside Huawei’s Shenzhen headquarters, a secret group of engineers toil away heedless to such risks. They are working on what’s next -- a raft of artificial intelligence, cloud-computing and chip technology crucial to China’s national priorities and Huawei’s future. As the 'war' drags on, China’s government has pushed to create an industry that is less dependent on cutting-edge U.S. semiconductors and software, perhaps due to their theft of same.
Though Meng was granted bail by a Canadian court, she must remain in the Vancouver area as she awaits the necessary extradition to the U.S. on specific criminal charges.
Meng Wanzhou leaves her home under the supervision of security on Dec. 12.
Meng Wanzhou leaves her home under the supervision of security on Dec. 12.
Then Huawei entered the smartphone market, and in a surprise to most observers toppled Apple Inc. in market share earlier this year. In the September quarter, the Chinese company had 15 percent of the world’s shipments, trailing only Samsung Electronics Co., according to data from IDC. Just two years earlier, it had about 9 percent of the market, undercutting evreyone.
Huawei’s 'aquired' technical expertise, combined with its ties to China’s blue-chip firms and government, could let it engineer another surprise in what many see as the critical backbone of future technology.
Those ambitions are consistent with the government’s goals. President Xi Jinping wants China to be the leader in semiconductors -- Huawei is showing it can. Xi wants China to have a global footprint -- Huawei has one. Xi wants China to move from basic manufacturing to more lucrative industries, with the country capturing the benefits -- and Huawei does that, too.
Huawei’s Enterprise Business Group, which trails networking and smartphones in sales, sells components and services for internet-connected devices, smart cities and cloud products. It will net more than $10 billion in revenue this year, about a 10th of the company’s overall total, Qiu Heng, the division’s chief marketing officer, said in an interview in November.
The company expects enterprise sales to double every two years. That means the business would lap $100 billion in 2025, the year China’s government has set to reach independence in technological production. And those projections are without an American business -- Qiu said estimates for his division exclude the U.S., where Huawei is a political pariah.
In one area, Huawei's "aquired" technology has had a head start. In the past two years, the largest internet companies formed semiconductor units to improve their cloud offerings and AI applications, such as image recognition and voice assistance. Huawei’s chip design unit, HiSilicon, has been around since 2004. It started working on customized chips to handle complex algorithms on hardware before the cloud companies did. Research firm Alliance Bernstein estimates that HiSilicon is on pace for $7.6 billion in sales this year, more than doubling its size since 2015.
“Huawei was way ahead of the curve,” said Richard, the analyst.
Yet in terms of sales and operations, Huawei’s cloud business is meager next to its larger rivals. The company spent about $13 billion on research and development in 2017, up more than 17 percent from the previous year. Its rivals in the cloud market have cut similarly sized checks. “Huawei has concluded that if it does not offer future solutions via the cloud, where its customers are migrating, someone else will,” said Siow Meng Soh, a research manager for GlobalData Plc.
While Huawei is pressing ahead with its research, there are some signs Meng’s detention is starting to affect the company’s operations. A Japanese supplier of industrial robots said Huawei has frozen orders for its machines after the arrest.
In software, Huawei is playing also a bit behind rivals. In AI fields, such as deep learning and computer-vision systems, the company is “feverishly seeking to catch up” to U.S. titans, said Oren Etzioni, head of the Allen Institute for Artificial Intelligence. "Huawei has data and government support, but are at a substantial disadvantage when it comes to AI,” he added.
Still, if any company could erase that hindrance quickly, it maybe Huawei.
Recent research from computer scientists in Zurich looked at the processing chops of Android phones and put the chips from HiSilicon at the top. Like its rivals, Huawei is throwing everything into its cloud package. It recently debuted a set of AI software tools and in October released a new specialized chip, called the Ascend.
“No other chip set has this kind of capability of processing,” Qiu said.
The cloud business allows Huawei to rely on its home market. While its overall sales are split about evenly in and outside of China, close to 60 percent of the enterprise business comes from China, Qiu said. In the U.S., Huawei’s size makes it a ready target for national security hawks; it loomed behind President Donald Trump’s decision to block a $117 billion merger.
Qiu said the company’s products are compliant with Europe’s General Data Protection Regulation, meaning that its clients, not Huawei, own and store data used in the applications. Huawei must tread carefully in Europe, where it has cloud partnerships with several carrier clients including Germany’s Deutsche Telekom AG. In the months before the CFO’s arrest, U.S. officials have reportedly asked counterparts in Germany and several European nations to drop Huawei equipment for 5G networks over national security concerns. A Deutsche Telekom representative declined to comment.
In a statement, a Huawei spokesman said the company operates in more than 170 countries and criticized U.S. officials. “If a government’s behavior extends beyond its jurisdiction, such activity should not be encouraged,” the spokesman said.
GlobalData’s Soh suggested that Huawei should turn to more welcoming markets across Latin America and Africa for its enterprise business, particularly after Meng’s arrest in Canada. “As long as they stick to the game plan, they still have a lot of room to grow,” he said, “unless U.S. allies stop buying them.”
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