Tuesday, January 23, 2018

The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP)-without the USA, 2018

Australian official lashes out at Trudeau

 amid spat over Pacific trade deal

Official 'gobsmacked' by Trudeau's move to skip meeting of 

national leaders, Australian media reports


By John Paul Tasker, CBC News Posted: Nov 18, 2017
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Australia's Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull, right, leave after the group photo at the annual Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Lima, Peru last year. The two Commonwealth countries are squabbling over the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Australia's Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull, right, leave after the group photo at the annual Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Lima, Peru last year. The two Commonwealth countries are squabbling over the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal. (Martin Mejia/AP Photo)
A spat between Canada and Australia is heating up as Australian officials signal they will block Canada's admission to Asia's premier security forum, the East Asia Summit, amid tensions over the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal.
An Australian news report suggests that country's leadership has already rejected Canada's application to participate in the key forum because Australian trade officials were "gobsmacked" by Canada's behaviour on the sidelines of the Asia-Pacific Economic Forum (APEC) last week in Vietnam.
Prime Minister Justin Trudeau skipped a planned meeting with the 10 other leaders of TPP countries while in Danang because he said Canada simply was not ready to sign a deal that is not yet in the best interest of Canadians. Liberal government officials have refuted international reports — notably from Australian and New Zealand news outlets — that suggested Canada alone was to blame for "screwed" TPP talks.
Trudeau Asia 20171110
The empty seat, foreground, for Canada's prime minister, is seen during a meeting of the TPP on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Vietnam. (Mick Tsika/AAP Image via AP)
"We weren't ready to close it," Trudeau told reporters. Canada helped broker an agreement on "core principles," but held out on a final signature because of ongoing concerns, namely with chapters that relate to the trade of cars and measures to protect cultural industries.
Trudeau made a pitch for EAS membership on the last day of his eight-day swing through the region.
"Canada is deeply committed to multilateral institutions and [forums], and the East Asia Summit is an important one in an extremely compelling region of the world," Trudeau said.

CBC News Ottawa
Tories and Liberals spar over the TPP


00:00 01:09
Tories and Liberals spar over the TPP1:09
The summit's 18 members must reach a consensus on whether to lift a current membership moratorium and allow Canada to join, meaning opposition from Australia could torpedo Canada's efforts.
A report in the Australian Financial Review cites a senior unnamed Australian official as saying that "EAS and APEC members are weighing up why Canada should be added to EAS following the TPP. Under Trudeau, Canada has increased its advocacy to join the EAS, but adding Canada is not on the EAS agenda."
"He pulled out of the TPP at five minutes to midnight and then rocked up at the EAS like he belonged there," the official said.

Ongoing 'irritants'

A Canadian official, speaking on background to CBC News, conceded there are ongoing "irritants" between the two countries, and Australian officials are likely lashing out at Trudeau in their national press because "they're frustrated" they did not secure Canada's signature on the TPP, a trade pact which aims to eliminate tariffs on industrial and farm products across an 11-nation bloc whose trade totalled $356 billion US last year.
Japan, the largest economy in the TPP, is eager to sign a deal that includes Canada. It already has advanced trading relations with most of the other TPP partners, including Australia.
Trudeau Vietnam 20171110
Trudeau speaks with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe at the start of a bilateral meeting at the recent APEC summit. (Adrian Wyld/Canadian Press)
And yet, while Australia might seek to tie EAS membership to Trudeau's reluctance to sign on to the TPP, Canadian officials cautioned it is problematic to make a causal link between the two.
The official said Australia has long opposed Canada joining the forum — opposition that existed before the TPP showdown — claiming the addition would "water down" membership, and admit a country it perceives as having tenuous ties to the Asia-Pacific region, despite Trudeau's insistence Canada is a "Pacific nation."
"Before we even left on the trip, we were briefed that Australia might oppose our membership," the official said, adding the Aussies see the EAS as their "playground."
There is a sense that Canada already enjoys membership in other high-level forums — namely, the G7, NATO and La Francophonie — in which Australia is not a member, the official said.

Canada remains committed to EAS bid

There is a fear that adding Canada to the EAS might lessen Australia's influence at the summit — Canada would take up some of the "oxygen," an official said in describing Australian concerns — attended by some of the world's most powerful leaders, including those from China, Russia and the U.S. Australia already has to compete for attention at APEC, where Canada is also a member.
In a statement sent to CBC News, a spokesperson for Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland said Canada will push ahead with its bid for membership in the EAS and its sister body, the ASEAN Defence Ministers Meeting Plus.
"Our participation in these security [forums] would expand our engagement with ASEAN and its member states, deepening our ties with an important and growing region.‎ We remain committed to working with our international partners to promote peace and security in the Asia-Pacific region," Adam Austen said.
Erin O'Toole, the Conservative critic for foreign affairs, questioned whether Trudeau purposely sidelined our "democratic allies," like Australia, in favour of launching preliminary free trade talks with China. "The TPP talks were about counterbalancing the influence of China in Asia-Pacific. All countries were part of that when Trudeau complicated things by not showing up to the leaders meeting. Is he going to go to China in lieu of TPP?"
Despite the squabbles over TPP, a Canadian official said the personal relationship between Freeland and her Australian counterpart, Julie Bishop, is "excellent," and they enjoyed a productive bilateral meeting while at APEC.
Australia Unlawful Lawmakers
Canadian officials say Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland has an 'excellent' relationship with her Australian counterpart, Julie Bishop. (Lee Jin-man/AP Photo)
That official said Australians are eager to tap Canada's knowledge of the U.S. Australia is looking to protect its free-trade agreement with the U.S. amid the ascendency of "America First" protectionist rhetoric emanating from the White House.
Recent additions to the EAS — namely, the U.S. and Russia in 2011 — have altered the once-cozy dynamic of the summit, another senior official, speaking on background, told reporters while at the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) summit.
That senior official cautioned Canada's campaign for membership is expected to last for many years, and there was never an expectation EAS member countries would simply welcome Canada right away.
The Trudeau government has appointed an ambassador, Marie-Louise Hannan, to ASEAN countries — whose 10 members make up a majority of EAS countries — to help with its lobbying efforts.
Related image


The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), currently changed to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP)

....after the US withdrew, is a trade 
agreement between AustraliaBruneiCanadaChileJapanMalaysiaMexicoNew ZealandPeruSingapore and Vietnam. The agreement, originally signed on 4 February 2016, is being renegotiated after the United States withdrew.[6] The eleven remaining members reached a partial agreement on 11 November 2017.[7]
The TPP began as an expansion of the Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement (TPSEP or P4) signed by Brunei DarussalamChileNew Zealand, and Singapore in 2005. Beginning in 2008, additional countries joined the discussion for a broader agreement: AustraliaCanadaJapanMalaysiaMexicoPeru, the United States, and Vietnam, bringing the total number of countries participating in the negotiations to twelve. In 2017, the United States withdrew from the agreement.[5][8] The other 11 TPP countries agreed in May 2017 to revive the deal without US participation.[9][10]
The original TPP contained measures to lower both non-tariff and tariff barriers to trade,[11] and establish an investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) mechanism.[12][13] The U.S. International Trade Commission,[14] the Peterson Institute for International Economics, the World Bank and the Office of the Chief Economist at Global Affairs Canada found the final agreement would, if ratified, lead to net positive economic outcomes for all signatories, while an analysis using an unorthodox model by two Tufts University economists found the agreement would adversely affect the signatories.[Note 1] Many observers have argued the trade deal would have served a geopolitical purpose, namely to reduce the signatories' dependence on Chinese trade and bring the signatories closer to the United States.

Comprehensive and Progressive Agreementfor Trans-Pacific Partnership
Image result for Leaders of prospective member states at a TPP summit
Leaders of prospective member states at a TPP summit in 2010
TypeTrade agreement
Drafted5 October 2015; 2 years ago[1][2][3]
Signed4 February 2016; 23 months ago
LocationAucklandNew Zealand
EffectiveNot in force
ConditionRatification by all original signatories, or (2 years after signature) ratification by at least 6 states corresponding to 85% of GDP of original signatories[4]
Original
signatories
Ratifiers

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