Keeping an eye on Communist, Totalitarian China, and its influence both globally, and we as Canadians. I have come to the opinion that we are rarely privy to truth regarding the real goal, the agenda of Red China, and it's implications for Canada [and North America as a whole]. No more can we rely on our media as more and more information on China is actively being swept under the carpet - not for consumption.
Monday, November 21, 2016
If the U.S. withdraws, China wonders whether it is ready to lead the world
“Openness is the lifeline of the regional economy,” Xi said the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in the Peruvian capital, Lima, on Saturday.
The official Xinhua News Agency gushed that Xi’s speech put China and the region in the “vanguard” of a joint effort to revive the global economy.
Of course, the United States and China have sometimes used their power to ignore global rules, whether in sidestepping the United Nations to invade Iraq or in advancing territorial claims in the South China Sea.
Nevertheless, China is defending the collaborative, rules-based order because it has benefited hugely from the system: Its accession to the World Trade Organization in 2001 gave an immense boost to Chinese exports but also provided a real incentive for domestic economic reforms.
Its 1.4 billion people also stand to lose heavily if the planet continues to warm sharply.
But is China prepared to accept the burden of leadership?
China’s influence will also expand if Trump fulfills his campaign promise to walk away from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, an ambitious trade pact involving 12 Pacific Rim nations.
TPP was a key element of Obama’s strategic rebalance to Asia, but his administration has given up on the idea of ratifying the deal in the lame-duck session of Congress.
China, meanwhile, has lost no time in pushing forward its vision for free trade in Asia, through a Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), a potential deal it has long championed that involves 14 Asian nations, plus Australia and New Zealand.
The RCEP would involve much lower standards for the environment, labor rights and intellectual property protection than the TPP and does not include the United States, potentially leaving U.S. businesses at a competitive disadvantage in Asia.
“There's no doubt that there would be a pivot to the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership if the TPP doesn't go forward,” Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said, according to the Kyodo news agency.
But championing a regional trade deal is not quite the same as leading the world, and, on that score at least, China is not yet ready to take up the burden.
“China, to its credit, has always been open that at its current stage of development, it has no capability or ambition to replace the United States,” said Yanmei Xie, a China policy analyst at Gavekal Dragonomics in Beijing. “It wants the U.S. to gradually relinquish some control and gradually make room for China. But it doesn’t want the U.S. to suddenly retreat — it doesn’t want to deal with the unpredictability and potential chaos that would go with that.”
Last week, China’s top envoy on climate change, Xie Zhenhua, said the United States still needed to play a joint leadership role in combating global warming. For one thing, developed countries have proposed about $100 billion in annual support for developing countries by 2020, a commitment that depends on Washington’s participation.
More broadly, though, the Global Times argued that China is still no match for the United States, as it lacks the ability and psychological readiness to lead the world.
“If Washington withdraws from the Paris climate deal, China can stick to its commitment, yet it won't be able to make up for the loss caused by the U.S.,” it wrote.
“Or if the U.S. takes on an anti-free trade path, the messy consequences will be beyond China's ability to repair.”
Even in the Asia-Pacific region, China “chafes” against U.S. dominance, Xie said, “but a lot of foreign-policy experts privately admit that China has benefited from peace and stability under the current order.”
The Global Times concluded that it was unimaginable that China could replace the United States.
“So Sino-U.S. cooperation is the only choice for future global governance. For a long time to come, the leadership of the U.S. will be irreplaceable,” it concluded. “Meanwhile, China's further rise is inevitable.”